000 04409nam a22005175i 4500
001 978-3-319-08933-1
003 DE-He213
005 20200420211752.0
007 cr nn 008mamaa
008 140917s2014 gw | s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9783319089331
_9978-3-319-08933-1
024 7 _a10.1007/978-3-319-08933-1
_2doi
050 4 _aHC79.E5
072 7 _aKCN
_2bicssc
072 7 _aBUS069000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a333.7
_223
100 1 _aHallegatte, St�ephane.
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aNatural Disasters and Climate Change
_h[electronic resource] :
_bAn Economic Perspective /
_cby St�ephane Hallegatte.
264 1 _aCham :
_bSpringer International Publishing :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2014.
300 _aXXII, 194 p. 43 illus., 32 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
505 0 _a1 Introduction and summary -- 2 What is a disaster? An economic point of view -- 3 Disaster risks: evidence and theory -- 4 Trends in Hazards and the Role of Climate Change -- 5 Climate change impact on natural disaster losses -- 6 Methodologies for disaster risk management in a changing environment -- 7 Decision making for disaster risk management in a changing climate -- 8 References.
520 _aThis book explores economic concepts related to disaster losses, describes mechanisms that determine the economic consequences of a disaster, and reviews methodologies for making decisions regarding risk management and adaptation. The author addresses the need for better understanding of the consequences of disasters and reviews and analyzes three scientific debates on linkage between disaster risk management and adaptation to climate change. The first involves the existence and magnitude of long-term economic impact of natural disasters on development. The second is the disagreement over whether any development is the proper solution to high vulnerability to disaster risk. The third debate involves the difficulty of drawing connections between natural disasters and climate change and the challenge in managing them through an integrated strategy. The introduction describes economic views of disaster, including direct and indirect costs, output and welfare losses, and use of econometric tools to measure losses. The next section defines disaster risk, delineates between "good" and "bad" risk-taking, and discusses a pathway to balanced growth. A section entitled "Trends in Hazards and the Role of Climate Change" sets scenarios for climate change analysis, discusses statistical and physical models for downscaling global climate scenarios to extreme event scenarios, and considers how to consider extremes of hot and cold, storms, wind, drought and flood. Another sect ion analyzes case studies on hurricanes and the US coastline; sea-level rises and storm surge in Copenhagen; and heavy precipitation in Mumbai. A section on Methodologies for disaster risk management includes a study on cost-benefit analysis of coastal protections in New Orleans, and one on early-warning systems in developing countries. The next section outlines decision-making in disaster risk management, including robust decision-making, No-regret and No-risk strategies; and strategies that reduce time horizons for decision-making. Among the conclusions is the assertion that risk management policies must recognize the benefits of risk-taking and avoid suppressing it entirely. The main message is that a combination of disaster-risk-reduction, resilience-building and adaptation policies can yield large potential gains and synergies.
650 0 _aOperations research.
650 0 _aDecision making.
650 0 _aEarth sciences.
650 0 _aNatural disasters.
650 0 _aClimate change.
650 0 _aEnvironmental economics.
650 1 4 _aEconomics.
650 2 4 _aEnvironmental Economics.
650 2 4 _aNatural Hazards.
650 2 4 _aEarth Sciences, general.
650 2 4 _aClimate Change.
650 2 4 _aOperation Research/Decision Theory.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783319089324
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08933-1
912 _aZDB-2-SBE
942 _cEBK
999 _c51313
_d51313