| 000 | 03461nam a22005775i 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 978-3-319-46430-5 | ||
| 003 | DE-He213 | ||
| 005 | 20220801221125.0 | ||
| 007 | cr nn 008mamaa | ||
| 008 | 161119s2017 sz | s |||| 0|eng d | ||
| 020 |
_a9783319464305 _9978-3-319-46430-5 |
||
| 024 | 7 |
_a10.1007/978-3-319-46430-5 _2doi |
|
| 050 | 4 | _aHD28-70 | |
| 072 | 7 |
_aTBC _2bicssc |
|
| 072 | 7 |
_aKJM _2bicssc |
|
| 072 | 7 |
_aTEC000000 _2bisacsh |
|
| 072 | 7 |
_aTBC _2thema |
|
| 072 | 7 |
_aKJM _2thema |
|
| 082 | 0 | 4 |
_a658.5 _223 |
| 100 | 1 |
_aWyatt, Ray. _eauthor. _4aut _4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut _954247 |
|
| 245 | 1 | 0 |
_aPlan Prediction _h[electronic resource] : _bWhich Policy is Preferred by Which People? / _cby Ray Wyatt. |
| 250 | _a1st ed. 2017. | ||
| 264 | 1 |
_aCham : _bSpringer International Publishing : _bImprint: Springer, _c2017. |
|
| 300 |
_aXVII, 276 p. 4 illus. in color. _bonline resource. |
||
| 336 |
_atext _btxt _2rdacontent |
||
| 337 |
_acomputer _bc _2rdamedia |
||
| 338 |
_aonline resource _bcr _2rdacarrier |
||
| 347 |
_atext file _bPDF _2rda |
||
| 505 | 0 | _aFigures & Definitions -- Preface -- School -- College -- Career -- Practicality -- Productivity -- Prudence -- A System -- Responses -- Reverse Engineering the System -- Acknowledgements -- Endnotes -- Further Reading. | |
| 520 | _aThis book develops an innovative system, in the form of an "app", that harnesses the power of the internet to predict which sorts of people will prefer which policy in ANY planning situation. It chronicles the accumulated research wisdom behind the system’s reasoning, along with several less successful approaches to policy making that have been found wanting in the past – including the myth, usually peddled by strategic planners, that it is possible to find a "best" plan which optimally satisfies everybody. The book lays out an entirely new kind of Planning Support System (PSS). It will facilitate decision-making that is far more community-sensitive than previously, and it will drastically improve the performance of anyone who needs to plan within socially-sensitive contexts – which is all of us. A standout feature of the system is its commitment to “scientific rigour”, as shown by its predicted plan scores always being graphically presented within error margins so that true statistical significance is instantly observable. Moreover, the probabilities that its predictions are correct are always shown – a refreshing change from most, if not all other Decision Support Systems (DSS) that simply expect users to accept their outputs on faith alone. | ||
| 650 | 0 |
_aIndustrial Management. _95847 |
|
| 650 | 0 |
_aPolitical planning. _936873 |
|
| 650 | 0 |
_aOperations research. _912218 |
|
| 650 | 0 |
_aSystem theory. _93409 |
|
| 650 | 0 |
_aControl theory. _93950 |
|
| 650 | 1 | 4 |
_aIndustrial Management. _95847 |
| 650 | 2 | 4 |
_aPublic Policy. _936874 |
| 650 | 2 | 4 |
_aOperations Research and Decision Theory. _931599 |
| 650 | 2 | 4 |
_aSystems Theory, Control . _931597 |
| 710 | 2 |
_aSpringerLink (Online service) _954248 |
|
| 773 | 0 | _tSpringer Nature eBook | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 |
_iPrinted edition: _z9783319464299 |
| 776 | 0 | 8 |
_iPrinted edition: _z9783319464312 |
| 776 | 0 | 8 |
_iPrinted edition: _z9783319835198 |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | _uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-46430-5 |
| 912 | _aZDB-2-ENG | ||
| 912 | _aZDB-2-SXE | ||
| 942 | _cEBK | ||
| 999 |
_c79317 _d79317 |
||